Stout Market Insights 2026, Analysis and Forecast to 2031

By: HDIN Research Published: 2026-01-30 Pages: 116
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Stout Market Summary The stout market has evolved into a high-value segment of the global brewing industry, characterized by its transition from a traditional heritage style to a vehicle for ultra-premium craft innovation and "functional" moderation. Driven by a global shift toward flavor-led premiumization, stouts are increasingly favored for their complex, roasted profiles—typically featuring notes of dark chocolate, espresso, and smoke. The category is currently benefiting from a "sophisticated indulgence" trend, where consumers prioritize rich sensory experiences over volume. Furthermore, the market is being revitalized by the rapid rise of non-alcoholic (NA) stouts, which leverage advanced dealcoholization to retain the signature creamy mouthfeel. The global stout market is estimated to reach a valuation of approximately USD 5.0–13.0 billion in 2026, with compound annual growth rates (CAGR) projected in the range of 2.5%–6.9% through 2031.Application Analysis and Market SegmentationOff-Trade (Retail & E-Commerce)The off-trade channel is the primary volume driver, capturing approximately 64% of the market share. Growth is propelled by the "home-experiential" drinking trend and the expansion of premium canned stouts. The shift toward high-quality, nitrogen-charged cans allows consumers to replicate the traditional "pub pour" at home, significantly boosting retail sales.On-Trade (Bars, Pubs & Restaurants)The on-trade segment is projected to grow at the fastest CAGR (~5.2%). This is driven by the experiential nature of stout, particularly draught consumption. Bars and gastropubs are increasingly using stouts as a core component of "food-pairing" menus and as a base for modern beer cocktails, enhancing the style's visibility among younger demographics.Product Type Analysis and TrendsCategoryMarket Share (2025)Market DynamicsBarley-based~81.3%The dominant segment. Consumers favor the "authentic" roasted barley profile. Includes sub-types like Dry Stout, Imperial Stout, and Milk Stout.Wheat-based~10.0%A niche but growing segment. Provides a smoother, creamier texture and lighter body, often categorized under "White Stouts" or hybrid experimental ales.Others~8.7%Includes stouts brewed with alternative grains (oatmeal, rye) and the surging Non-Alcoholic segment.Regional Market Distribution and TrendsNorth America: Projected to grow at the fastest CAGR (5.4%). Driven by the mature craft movement in the U.S. and Canada, where "Imperial" and "Barrel-aged" stouts command extreme premium prices.Europe: The traditional heart of the market. While volume is steady, value is increasing through the "Moderation Trend." In 2025, sales of Guinness 0.0 saw a nearly 50% increase in certain regions, highlighting the success of zero-alcohol dark beers.Asia-Pacific: A high-growth frontier. Led by Japan and China, where dark beers are viewed as luxury lifestyle imports. Major players like Sapporo and Asahi are aggressively expanding their stout and dark lager portfolios.Key Market Players and Strategic ConsolidationThe competitive landscape is defined by the integration of "Craft Spirit" with "Global Scale."Global Titans: Diageo (Guinness) remains the unrivaled market leader, utilizing its "MicroSdraught" technology to expand stout availability in non-traditional venues. AB InBev and Heineken are focusing on diversifying their portfolios with seasonal and flavored dark beer variants.Strategic Integrations:Sapporo Holdings: Following the 2022 acquisition of Stone Brewing, Sapporo has spent 2024 and 2025 fully integrating its U.S. operations. By 2025, the company successfully doubled production at Stone's facilities, focusing on capturing the "West Coast" craft market and leveraging Stone's bold brewing reputation.The Craft Leaders: The Boston Beer Company and Sierra Nevada continue to lead through innovation, while Eleiko and Founders (now 100% owned by Mahou San Miguel as of 2025) dominate the specialty barrel-aged stout niche.Consolidation Trend: Major brewers are currently focused on "Optimization." For instance, Stone Brewing ceased international exports in January 2025 to concentrate resources on the lucrative U.S. market under Sapporo's management.Market Opportunities and ChallengesOpportunities: The rise of "Nitro-Technology" in diverse packaging and the development of "Pastry Stouts" (dessert-inspired flavors) attract younger, flavor-seeking consumers. There is also a significant opportunity in Gaming Partnerships, exemplified by Sapporo-Stone’s 2025/2026 collaboration with PlayStation’s Ghost of Yōtei.Challenges: Rising raw material costs (specialty roasted malts and aluminum) and "Seltzer Fatigue" impacting the broader beer category. Additionally, the challenge for brewers in 2026 is moving away from "extreme" gimmicks (like over-sweetened recipes) back toward technical refinement and balance to retain health-conscious drinkers.
Chapter 1 Report Overview

1.1 Study Scope 1

1.2 Research Methodology 2

1.2.1 Data Sources 3

1.2.2 Assumptions 4

1.3 Abbreviations and Acronyms 6

Chapter 2 Global Stout Market Executive Summary

2.1 Market Size and Growth Prospect (2021-2031) 7

2.2 Market Segment Overview by Type 9

2.3 Market Segment Overview by Distribution Channel 11

2.4 Key Regional Market Highlights 13

Chapter 3 Market Dynamics and Industry Trends

3.1 Growth Drivers: Rising Popularity of Craft Brewing and Nitro-Infusion 15

3.2 Market Restraints: Health Consciousness and Alcohol Consumption Regulations 17

3.3 Industry Challenges: Volatility in Grain and Energy Costs 19

3.4 Emerging Trends: Seasonal and Fruit-Infused Stout Varieties 21

Chapter 4 Brewing Process and Technology Analysis

4.1 Value Chain Analysis 23

4.2 Raw Material Analysis: Specialized Malts, Hops, and Water Profiles 25

4.3 Manufacturing Process: Roasting, Mashing, and Fermentation 27

4.4 Packaging and Storage Technology: Cans, Bottles, and Draught Systems 29

Chapter 5 Global Stout Market by Type

5.1 Barley-based Stouts 31

5.2 Wheat-based Stouts 34

5.3 Others (Oatmeal, Milk, and Chocolate Stouts) 37

Chapter 6 Global Stout Market by Distribution Channel

6.1 Off-Trade (Retailers, Supermarkets, E-commerce) 40

6.2 On-Trade (Bars, Pubs, Restaurants, Clubs) 43

Chapter 7 Global Stout Market by Region

7.1 North America (United States, Canada, Mexico) 46

7.2 Europe (Ireland, UK, Germany, France, Netherlands, Spain) 50

7.3 Asia-Pacific (China, Japan, Korea, India, Southeast Asia, Australia, Taiwan (China)) 54

7.4 Latin America (Brazil, Argentina, others) 58

7.5 Middle East and Africa (UAE, Saudi Arabia, South Africa) 61

Chapter 8 Competitive Landscape

8.1 Global Market Share Analysis by Key Players (2021-2026) 64

8.2 Competitive Benchmarking: Portfolio Depth and Brand Value 66

Chapter 9 Key Player Profiles

9.1 Diageo plc 68

9.1.1 Company Introduction and Business Overview 68

9.1.2 Diageo SWOT Analysis 69

9.1.3 Diageo Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 70

9.1.4 Brand Marketing and Innovation (Guinness Focus) 71

9.2 Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV 72

9.2.1 Company Introduction and Business Overview 72

9.2.2 AB InBev SWOT Analysis 73

9.2.3 AB InBev Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 74

9.3 Heineken N.V. 76

9.3.1 Company Introduction and Business Overview 76

9.3.2 Heineken SWOT Analysis 77

9.3.3 Heineken Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 78

9.4 Carlsberg Group 80

9.4.1 Company Introduction and Business Overview 80

9.4.2 Carlsberg SWOT Analysis 81

9.4.3 Carlsberg Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 82

9.5 Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd. 84

9.5.1 Company Introduction and Business Overview 84

9.5.2 Asahi SWOT Analysis 85

9.5.3 Asahi Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 86

9.6 Kirin Holdings Company, Limited 88

9.6.1 Company Introduction and Business Overview 88

9.6.2 Kirin SWOT Analysis 89

9.6.3 Kirin Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 90

9.7 Molson Coors Beverage Company 92

9.7.1 Company Introduction and Business Overview 92

9.7.2 Molson Coors SWOT Analysis 93

9.7.3 Molson Coors Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 94

9.8 Sapporo Holdings Ltd. 96

9.8.1 Company Introduction and Business Overview 96

9.8.2 Sapporo SWOT Analysis 97

9.8.3 Sapporo Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 98

9.9 The Boston Beer Company Inc. 100

9.9.1 Company Introduction and Business Overview 100

9.9.2 Boston Beer SWOT Analysis 101

9.9.3 Boston Beer Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 102

9.10 Stone Brewing Co. 104

9.10.1 Company Introduction and Business Overview 104

9.10.2 Stone Brewing SWOT Analysis 105

9.10.3 Stone Brewing Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 106

9.11 Port Brewing Company 108

9.11.1 Company Introduction and Business Overview 108

9.11.2 Port Brewing SWOT Analysis 109

9.11.3 Port Brewing Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 110

Chapter 10 Global Stout Market Forecast (2027-2031)

10.1 Forecast by Type 112

10.2 Forecast by Distribution Channel 114

10.3 Forecast by Region 116
Table 1-1 Abbreviations and Acronyms 6

Table 5-1 Global Stout Revenue by Type (2021-2026) 32

Table 5-2 Global Stout Revenue by Type (2027-2031) 33

Table 6-1 Global Stout Revenue by Distribution Channel (2021-2026) 41

Table 6-2 Global Stout Revenue by Distribution Channel (2027-2031) 42

Table 7-1 North America Stout Market Revenue by Country (2021-2026) 47

Table 7-2 Europe Stout Market Revenue by Country (2021-2026) 51

Table 7-3 Asia-Pacific Stout Market Revenue by Country (2021-2026) 55

Table 8-1 Global Stout Market Share by Key Players (2021-2026) 65

Table 9-1 Diageo Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 70

Table 9-2 AB InBev Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 74

Table 9-3 Heineken Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 78

Table 9-4 Carlsberg Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 82

Table 9-5 Asahi Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 86

Table 9-6 Kirin Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 90

Table 9-7 Molson Coors Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 94

Table 9-8 Sapporo Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 98

Table 9-9 Boston Beer Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 102

Table 9-10 Stone Brewing Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 106

Table 9-11 Port Brewing Stout Revenue, Cost and Gross Profit Margin (2021-2026) 110

Figure 2-1 Global Stout Market Size Value (2021-2031) 8

Figure 4-1 Stout Brewing Process Flowchart 28

Figure 5-1 Global Market Share for Stout by Type in 2026 31

Figure 6-1 Global Market Share for Stout by Distribution Channel in 2026 40

Figure 7-1 North America Stout Market Share by Country in 2026 48

Figure 7-2 Europe Stout Market Share by Country in 2026 52

Figure 9-1 Diageo Stout Market Share (2021-2026) 70

Figure 9-2 AB InBev Stout Market Share (2021-2026) 74

Figure 9-3 Heineken Stout Market Share (2021-2026) 78

Figure 9-4 Carlsberg Stout Market Share (2021-2026) 82

Figure 9-5 Asahi Stout Market Share (2021-2026) 86

Figure 9-6 Kirin Stout Market Share (2021-2026) 90

Figure 9-7 Molson Coors Stout Market Share (2021-2026) 94

Figure 9-8 Sapporo Stout Market Share (2021-2026) 98

Figure 9-9 Boston Beer Stout Market Share (2021-2026) 102

Figure 9-10 Stone Brewing Stout Market Share (2021-2026) 106

Figure 9-11 Port Brewing Stout Market Share (2021-2026) 110

Figure 10-1 Global Stout Market Size Forecast (2027-2031) 113

Research Methodology

  • Market Estimated Methodology:

    Bottom-up & top-down approach, supply & demand approach are the most important method which is used by HDIN Research to estimate the market size.

1)Top-down & Bottom-up Approach

Top-down approach uses a general market size figure and determines the percentage that the objective market represents.

Bottom-up approach size the objective market by collecting the sub-segment information.

2)Supply & Demand Approach

Supply approach is based on assessments of the size of each competitor supplying the objective market.

Demand approach combine end-user data within a market to estimate the objective market size. It is sometimes referred to as bottom-up approach.

  • Forecasting Methodology
  • Numerous factors impacting the market trend are considered for forecast model:
  • New technology and application in the future;
  • New project planned/under contraction;
  • Global and regional underlying economic growth;
  • Threatens of substitute products;
  • Industry expert opinion;
  • Policy and Society implication.
  • Analysis Tools

1)PEST Analysis

PEST Analysis is a simple and widely used tool that helps our client analyze the Political, Economic, Socio-Cultural, and Technological changes in their business environment.

  • Benefits of a PEST analysis:
  • It helps you to spot business opportunities, and it gives you advanced warning of significant threats.
  • It reveals the direction of change within your business environment. This helps you shape what you’re doing, so that you work with change, rather than against it.
  • It helps you avoid starting projects that are likely to fail, for reasons beyond your control.
  • It can help you break free of unconscious assumptions when you enter a new country, region, or market; because it helps you develop an objective view of this new environment.

2)Porter’s Five Force Model Analysis

The Porter’s Five Force Model is a tool that can be used to analyze the opportunities and overall competitive advantage. The five forces that can assist in determining the competitive intensity and potential attractiveness within a specific area.

  • Threat of New Entrants: Profitable industries that yield high returns will attract new firms.
  • Threat of Substitutes: A substitute product uses a different technology to try to solve the same economic need.
  • Bargaining Power of Customers: the ability of customers to put the firm under pressure, which also affects the customer's sensitivity to price changes.
  • Bargaining Power of Suppliers: Suppliers of raw materials, components, labor, and services (such as expertise) to the firm can be a source of power over the firm when there are few substitutes.
  • Competitive Rivalry: For most industries the intensity of competitive rivalry is the major determinant of the competitiveness of the industry.

3)Value Chain Analysis

Value chain analysis is a tool to identify activities, within and around the firm and relating these activities to an assessment of competitive strength. Value chain can be analyzed by primary activities and supportive activities. Primary activities include: inbound logistics, operations, outbound logistics, marketing & sales, service. Support activities include: technology development, human resource management, management, finance, legal, planning.

4)SWOT Analysis

SWOT analysis is a tool used to evaluate a company's competitive position by identifying its strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats. The strengths and weakness is the inner factor; the opportunities and threats are the external factor. By analyzing the inner and external factors, the analysis can provide the detail information of the position of a player and the characteristics of the industry.

  • Strengths describe what the player excels at and separates it from the competition
  • Weaknesses stop the player from performing at its optimum level.
  • Opportunities refer to favorable external factors that the player can use to give it a competitive advantage.
  • Threats refer to factors that have the potential to harm the player.
  • Data Sources
Primary Sources Secondary Sources
Face to face/Phone Interviews with market participants, such as:
Manufactures;
Distributors;
End-users;
Experts.
Online Survey
Government/International Organization Data:
Annual Report/Presentation/Fact Book
Internet Source Information
Industry Association Data
Free/Purchased Database
Market Research Report
Book/Journal/News

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